Market Watch Dashboard

Static snapshot generated 2026-11-06 15:23 ET from the local pipeline (fetch_market.py + analysis.py). Sources: Yahoo Finance chart API (stocks, history, intraday), CoinGecko (live crypto). Free/delayed data. General market analysis — not personalized financial advice.

Today's signal picture: every nuclear-five name is classified NO TRADE — all five sit in confirmed downtrends and none shows the tested bounce setup today. The backtest below is why the rules are strict: replayed over the past year, the bounce signal lost money on OKLO (−0.77R expectancy), NNE, LEU, BTC, ETH, SOL and XRP.

Stocks — nuclear watchlist + benchmarks

AssetPriceDay5d/7d EntryStopTake-profit 2:1SignalBacktest (1y, net of costs) Trend / rangeThen vs now
OKLO $23.81 +24.01% -5.74% $19.20$18.54 $20.53
net $20.49
NO TRADE
confirmed downtrend (price under 200d average, 50d under 200d) and no bounce setup today
6 trades · win 16.7% · exp -0.71R · PF 0.2 downtrend (50d below 200d)
52w range pos: 5% · from high -80.3%
1mo -31.15% 3mo -46.50% 6mo -67.18%
SMR $4.94 +13.04% -12.37% $4.37$4.28 $4.56
net $4.55
NO TRADE
confirmed downtrend (price under 200d average, 50d under 200d) and no bounce setup today
5 trades · win 40.0% · exp 0.07R · PF 1.1 downtrend (50d below 200d)
52w range pos: 2% · from high -86.8%
1mo -32.72% 3mo -46.35% 6mo -60.76%
NNE $11.18 +16.04% -4.29% $9.63$9.29 $10.32
net $10.30
NO TRADE
confirmed downtrend (price under 200d average, 50d under 200d) and no bounce setup today
7 trades · win 28.6% · exp -0.26R · PF 0.67 downtrend (50d below 200d)
52w range pos: 5% · from high -74.3%
1mo -26.93% 3mo -39.96% 6mo -59.38%
LEU $105.48 +18.48% +2.00% $89.03$84.91 $97.28
net $97.10
NO TRADE
confirmed downtrend (price under 200d average, 50d under 200d) and no bounce setup today
5 trades · win 20.0% · exp -0.51R · PF 0.43 downtrend (50d below 200d)
52w range pos: 8% · from high -69.5%
1mo -25.85% 3mo -44.35% 6mo -49.18%
LTBR $4.25 +6.52% -16.73% $3.99$3.91 $4.15
net $4.14
NO TRADE
confirmed downtrend (price under 200d average, 50d under 200d) and no bounce setup today
5 trades · win 40.0% · exp 0.09R · PF 1.13 downtrend (50d below 200d)
52w range pos: 2% · from high -82.0%
1mo -29.62% 3mo -52.47% 6mo -68.50%
SPY $738.17 +0.71% -2.31% $733.00$732.71 $733.58
net $732.11
WATCH
no tested setup today
17 trades · win 29.4% · exp -0.45R · PF 0.42 uptrend (50d above 200d)
52w range pos: 72% · from high -5.5%
1mo -4.61% 3mo -4.50% 6mo +0.09%
QQQ $659.09 +1.86% -4.54% $647.05$647.05 $647.05
net $645.76
WATCH
no tested setup today
15 trades · win 26.7% · exp -0.4R · PF 0.5 uptrend (50d above 200d)
52w range pos: 50% · from high -13.6%
1mo -11.83% 3mo -8.56% 6mo -7.32%

AI candidates (watch area — picks not locked yet)

AssetPriceDay5d/7d EntryStopTake-profit 2:1SignalBacktest (1y, net of costs) Trend / rangeThen vs now
NVDA $188.26 +3.67% -8.00% $181.60$181.46 $181.88
net $181.51
WATCH
no tested setup today
13 trades · win 30.8% · exp -0.18R · PF 0.77 uptrend (50d above 200d)
52w range pos: 30% · from high -22.6%
1mo -18.32% 3mo -13.46% 6mo -12.52%
AMD $450.46 +11.39% -10.74% $404.40$402.10 $409.00
net $408.19
WATCH
no tested setup today
4 trades · win 75.0% · exp 1.16R · PF 5.21 uptrend (50d above 200d)
52w range pos: 56% · from high -31.6%
1mo -27.40% 3mo -4.04% 6mo -1.01%
AVGO $293.22 +0.58% -10.06% $291.53$290.13 $294.33
net $293.75
NO TRADE
confirmed downtrend (price under 200d average, 50d under 200d) and no bounce setup today
8 trades · win 37.5% · exp -0.02R · PF 0.98 downtrend (50d below 200d)
52w range pos: 2% · from high -40.8%
1mo -18.57% 3mo -30.57% 6mo -31.80%
MSFT $531.99 -0.74% +1.96% $535.93$504.96 $597.87
net $596.80
WATCH
no tested setup today
17 trades · win 52.9% · exp 0.44R · PF 1.79 uptrend (50d above 200d)
52w range pos: 87% · from high -4.8%
1mo +1.83% 3mo +5.16% 6mo +28.19%
GOOGL $286.32 +1.33% +2.34% $282.57$276.92 $293.87
net $293.30
NO TRADE
confirmed downtrend (price under 200d average, 50d under 200d) and no bounce setup today
15 trades · win 33.3% · exp -0.19R · PF 0.77 downtrend (50d below 200d)
52w range pos: 11% · from high -29.9%
1mo -17.77% 3mo -19.90% 6mo -28.55%
META $616.18 +1.83% +0.21% $605.08$583.80 $647.64
net $646.43
WATCH
no tested setup today
14 trades · win 35.7% · exp -0.04R · PF 0.95 uptrend (50d above 200d)
52w range pos: 37% · from high -21.0%
1mo -14.51% 3mo +3.59% 6mo +1.09%
TSM $375.58 +6.37% -7.52% $353.10$351.19 $356.92
net $356.21
WATCH
no tested setup today
7 trades · win 28.6% · exp -0.3R · PF 0.65 uptrend (50d above 200d)
52w range pos: 49% · from high -23.0%
1mo -18.00% 3mo -10.25% 6mo -8.77%
PLTR $161.05 +3.91% -12.54% $154.99$152.60 $159.77
net $159.46
WATCH
no tested setup today
4 trades · win 50.0% · exp 0.41R · PF 1.76 uptrend (50d above 200d)
52w range pos: 51% · from high -24.4%
1mo -18.99% 3mo -8.11% 6mo +16.85%
AI $11.59 +1.85% -2.32% $11.38$11.16 $11.82
net $11.80
WATCH
uptrend name sitting on its 50d average — pullback zone, wait for a hold/bounce day
6 trades · win 66.7% · exp 0.9R · PF 3.5 uptrend (50d above 200d)
52w range pos: 40% · from high -33.7%
1mo +2.07% 3mo +11.30% 6mo +17.27%
SOUN $4.01 -5.87% -5.45% $4.26$3.88 $5.02
net $5.01
NO TRADE
confirmed downtrend (price under 200d average, 50d under 200d) and no bounce setup today
7 trades · win 42.9% · exp 0.03R · PF 1.05 downtrend (50d below 200d)
52w range pos: 1% · from high -74.6%
1mo -27.72% 3mo -46.51% 6mo -55.07%
BBAI $2.19 -1.35% -15.96% $2.22$2.07 $2.52
net $2.52
NO TRADE
confirmed downtrend (price under 200d average, 50d under 200d) and no bounce setup today
5 trades · win 20.0% · exp -0.51R · PF 0.42 downtrend (50d below 200d)
52w range pos: 2% · from high -70.5%
1mo -9.71% 3mo -32.35% 6mo -47.73%
NBIS $130.85 +8.71% -15.07% $120.37$113.30 $134.51
net $134.27
WATCH
no tested setup today
2 trades · win 0.0% · exp -1.1R · PF 0.0 uptrend (50d above 200d)
52w range pos: 25% · from high -56.3%
1mo -40.42% 3mo -28.90% 6mo -26.06%

Crypto (separate from stocks)

AssetPriceDay5d/7d EntryStopTake-profit 2:1SignalBacktest (1y, net of costs) Trend / rangeThen vs now
BTC $75,826.76 -0.32% -1.06% $76,001.01$75,616.78 $76,769.47
net $76,161.46
WATCH
no tested setup today
14 trades · win 28.6% · exp -0.66R · PF 0.33 uptrend (50d above 200d)
52w range pos: 36% · from high -29.5%
1mo -7.09% 3mo -4.95% 6mo +21.07%
ETH $2,231.12 -0.78% +0.09% $2,236.39$2,173.30 $2,362.57
net $2,344.68
WATCH
no tested setup today
14 trades · win 28.6% · exp -0.54R · PF 0.46 uptrend (50d above 200d)
52w range pos: 34% · from high -39.1%
1mo -7.92% 3mo -9.28% 6mo +26.85%
SOL $90.08 +0.26% -4.37% $90.15$88.85 $92.74
net $92.02
WATCH
no tested setup today
12 trades · win 16.7% · exp -0.91R · PF 0.23 uptrend (50d above 200d)
52w range pos: 27% · from high -47.6%
1mo -13.71% 3mo -11.72% 6mo +9.38%
XRP $1.18 -5.10% -4.39% $1.23$1.20 $1.27
net $1.26
WATCH
no tested setup today
18 trades · win 38.9% · exp -0.38R · PF 0.61 uptrend (50d above 200d)
52w range pos: 12% · from high -54.2%
1mo -9.93% 3mo -15.65% 6mo +4.06%

Correlations — 30-day daily returns (90-day in the data files)

SPYQQQOKLOSMRNNELEULTBRBTCETH
SPY1.000.950.650.620.680.440.57-0.26-0.28
QQQ0.951.000.700.640.740.510.66-0.11-0.13
OKLO0.650.701.000.900.920.840.87-0.02-0.02
SMR0.620.640.901.000.860.790.850.020.02
NNE0.680.740.920.861.000.800.92-0.000.01
LEU0.440.510.840.790.801.000.82-0.08-0.11
LTBR0.570.660.870.850.920.821.000.050.05
BTC-0.26-0.11-0.020.02-0.00-0.080.051.000.97
ETH-0.28-0.13-0.020.020.01-0.110.050.971.00

Read: SPY↔BTC is 0.42 over 30 days but 0.04 over 90 — a recent coupling, not a structural one. The nuclear names track the stock market (0.47–0.61 vs SPY over 90d) far more than they track Bitcoin.

Most active hours (measured, most recent full session 2026-11-05)

SPY volume by hour: top hours 15:00, 11:00, 10:00 ET — first hour after the open carried 8.9% of the day's volume, the final hour 39.3% (the U-shape, measured not assumed).

BTC volume by hour: top hours 1:00, 18:00, 3:00 ET — the biggest crypto hours cluster around the 4 AM / 12 PM / 8 PM ET perpetual-funding settlements.

Sessions: US stocks pre-market 4:00–9:30 AM, regular 9:30 AM–4:00 PM, after-hours 4:00–8:00 PM ET. Crypto trades 24/7 with no official bell; its volume anchors to the US session and the Europe–US overlap (8 AM–12 PM ET). Snapshot windows run 30 min before / at / 30 min after the stock open and close on weekdays.

Market discovery — today's full-market movers (not just the watchlist)

Top gainers Top losers Most active by volume

Top brokers (researched Oct 16, 2026)

Method — signal rules, NO TRADE rules, costs, attribution